Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton says her Pennsylvania win has made the “tide” turn in the Democratic primary race – but oddsmakers aren’t seeing it that way.
Clinton’s market prediction to be the Democratic standard-bearer stood at just 17.5 percent last Friday on Intrade.com, one of the Web sites that allows people to bet on the outcome of elections.
That’s compared to a massive 81.2 percent prediction for rival Sen. Barack Obama to become the nominee.
Clinton’s standing was slightly lower in the Iowa Electronic Markets, which is run by the University of Iowa College of Business.
The Iowa futures market, which lets students invest from $5 to $500 in the outcomes of presidential contests, is calling for a tight fall election, giving the Democratic candidate a 54 percent chance of winning while the GOP one gets 47 percent.
That was different from Intrade, which rates the chances of a Democrat winning in the November general election as nearly 60 percent.
And on BetUSA.com, the odds are similarly stacked against the New York senator. Clinton’s odds of becoming president were listed as 5 to 1. Obama’s as 5 to 8, and McCain’s as 6 to 5.